So, if it’s not Bates*, who did kill Anna’s attacker? The wait is almost over, with Downton fans promised a shock plot twist in next week’s finale. Call the suspects, m’lud!
22:00 GMT, 1 November 2014
18:54 GMT, 2 November 2014
It's the whodunit that has gripped ten million fans – and now viewers are about to come a step closer to discovering who murdered Downton Abbey rapist Mr Green.A dramatic plot development will be revealed when the final episode of the current series airs on ITV next Sunday. And while The Mail on Sunday won’t spoil the tension by giving away the details, here we offer our dossier of evidence against all the prime suspects, as well as the bookies’ odds as to who might be the killer.Fans have spent the past six weeks on tenterhooks as police delve into the circumstances of how Green – the valet who raped ladies' maid Anna Bates – died under the wheels of a car in London’s Piccadilly Circus.What began as a routine traffic accident investigation quickly turned into a murder inquiry, after witnesses reported seeing Green, played by Nigel Harman, in an altercation.Police initially suspected Anna’s devoted husband John after they discovered he was away from Downton on the day of the murder and may have even been in London.But the finger of suspicion is now beginning to point to other characters who were either in the capital on that day or who appear to be doing their best to hamper police inquiries.And after next Sunday’s bombshell, further developments are promised in the Christmas special.But perhaps the only sure bet this time around is that the butler didn’t do it. Ladbrokes quoted odds of 20/1 that Carson is guilty.The hapless Molesley is an even longer shot at 50/1 – while above stairs the Earl and Countess of Grantham, their daughter Lady Edith Crawley and the irrepressible Violet, Dowager Countess of Grantham, all have odds of 100/1.Odds are given for guidance purposes only.
Gillingham, played by Tom Cullen ,agreed to sack his valet after Lady Mary asked him to but was he just trying to win her favours?Viscount GillinghamWHY HE MIGHT BE GUILTY: Gillingham actively disliked his manservant and was the first to hear the news of the death.Fans also question why he travelled all the way from London to Downton to announce the news.Earlier Gillingham, played by Tom Cullen, agreed to Lady Mary’s request that Green be sacked because he had done something ‘abhorrent’. Did he discover what that was and take matters into his own hands?WHY HE MIGHT BE INNOCENT: Tony is regarded as a wet even by his closest friends and he would appear to lack the killer instinct.Odds: 5/1
Lady Mary dines with Tony Gillingham and asks him to sack
Green because he had done something ‘abhorrent’
Lady Mary - does she have something to hide?Lady Mary CrawleyWHY SHE MIGHT BE GUILTY: Lady Mary (Michelle Dockery), the eldest daughter of the Earl of Grantham, is close to Anna and was horrified when she learned of the rape.She was in London on the day of the murder and had promised Anna that Green would never return to Downton.She later burnt the railway ticket which could prove Bates’s innocence and has not been too helpful to police.WHY SHE MIGHT BE INNOCENT: She seemed genuinely shocked to hear of Green’s death.She burnt the ticket because she thought it would help Bates by covering up his trip, not realising its significance.Odds: 8/1
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Anna BatesWHY SHE MIGHT BE GUILTY: Anna’s desire for revenge is understandable – and she was in London on the day of the murder.Detectives also know that she has made a secret and still unexplained visit to the spot where Green died.
Mr Green found Anna attractive and wouldn't take no for an answer so he raped her
Comfort: After she is raped by Mr Green during the concert, Anna seeks help from Mrs HughesWHY SHE MIGHT BE INNOCENT: Played by Joanne Froggatt, Anna’s primary concern has been her husband’s well-being.She originally tried to conceal the fact it was Green who raped her, because she knew John would take matters into his own hands.She is genuinely relieved when Bates tells her about the untorn railway ticket which suggests he did not go to London.Odds: 4/1
Mr and Mrs Bates: She feared
he had gone to London and murdered Mr Green after finding out about the rape
Did Lord Grantham's valet, Bates, take the ultimate revenge when he learned what Green did to Anna?John BatesWHY HE MIGHT BE GUILTY: Bates has long known that Green raped his wife, despite her initial efforts to conceal his identity.He has now admitted to Anna that he considered killing Green and even bought a train ticket from York to London so he could carry out the deed.Bates, as played by Brendan Coyle, also has form of sorts, after he was convicted of murdering his wife Vera.WHY HE MIGHT BE INNOCENT: Bates is adamant that he changed his mind at the last minute and did not board the London train.He insists his rail ticket, which was not torn by an inspector, will prove this change of heart – but the evidence has been burned by Lady Mary.And of his murder conviction, Bates was subsequently cleared.Odds: 12/1 ..............................................................................................................................................................
Mrs Hughes: Housekeeper and confidanteMrs HughesWHY SHE MIGHT BE GUILTY: Downton’s formidable housekeeper would do anything to protect Anna and John Bates.She was the first person Anna confided in about the assault and she was one of the very first people to discover the identity of the attacker.She also confronted Green and left him in no doubt what she thought of him when he returned to Downton in the weeks following the assault.She, too, has also been less than forthcoming to police during the course of their inquiries.WHY SHE MIGHT BE INNOCENT: There is no evidence that Mrs Hughes, played by Phyllis Logan, was in London on the day of Green’s death.She has also tried to move the finger of suspicion away from Bates.After she found his train ticket in a coat pocket, she handed it over to Lady Mary – which turned out to be a fateful decision.Odds: 3/1
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We know she's a thief but is she a murderer as well?BaxterWHY SHE MIGHT BE GUILTY: Phyllis Baxter, the new lady's maid played by Raquel Cassidy, has taken a close interest in the case.She also has a criminal record having stolen jewels from an ex-employer.She insists she was led astray by a former lover.It’s a long shot but could that man be Green?WHY SHE MIGHT BE INNOCENT: She’s repentant about her past and has vowed to do all she can to clear Bates’s name.Odds: 10/1
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Did Thomas kill Mr Green in a bid to frame Mr Bates? Possibly but he has been rather preoccupied of late trying to 'cure' his homosexualityThomas BarrowWHY HE MIGHT BE GUILTY: Downton’s scheming under-butler has been desperate to find out anything he can about the ongoing police investigation and even blackmailed Baxter into divulging what she knew.When she refused to co-operate, he wrote to the police suggesting she should be questioned.Did Barrow, played by Rob James-Collier, kill Green to set up his long-standing rival Bates?Barrow has always resented Bates’s presence and has done everything possible to undermine his position.WHY HE MIGHT BE INNOCENT: Setting up Bates in such an elaborate fashion is probably a step too far for even for the show’s arch villain.In any case, he has had enough on his plate in recent weeks trying to sort out his private life.Odds: 14/1 Or was it suicide? The alternative theories...ACCIDENTAL DEATH OR SUICIDE: One theory says police have been barking up the wrong tree and that Green accidentally fell off the pavement and into the path of traffic.Alternatively he threw himself under the car as he was racked by guilt at what he’d done.ODDS: 6/1 MURDERED FOR ANOTHER REASON: Green may have been killed over links to the criminal underworld – not over his attack on Anna.Another theory is that he and Gillingham are penniless conmen and that Gillingham killed him during a row.ODDS: 8/1 * It might still be him...
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For decades, dozens of forgotten Navy and merchant ships have been corroding in Suisun Bay, 30 miles northeast of San Francisco. These historic vessels—the Mothball Fleet—served their country in four wars: WWII, the Korean War, the Vietnam War, and Desert Storm. After a decade of impasse, the ghost fleet is slowly dwindling as the ships are towed out one-by-one for scrapping. About 15 retired sh by 2017, the entire fleet will be just a memory.
Over a two-year period, several close friends and I gained unprecedented access to the decaying ships, spending several days at a time photographing, documenting, and even sleeping aboard them—often in the luxury of the captain’s quarters. Sneaking on-board required months of planning and coordination, and it involved taking significant risks. Of course, things did not always go as planned, but despite several close calls, we were successful in all of our attempts to infiltrate the ships while evading round-the-clock security patrols.
History and Current State
These ghost ships, part of the National Defense Reserve Fleet (NDRF) overseen by the U.S. Maritime Administration (MARAD), were supposed to be ready for duty in the event of a national emergency. Perhaps a few ships are actually “reserve ready” and could be activated, but the vast majority are well beyond their useful lives and rotting away as they wait in line for disposal.
The mothballed ships once numbered close to 400, and in
vessels still lined the waters of Suisun Bay. Although the ships continued to dwindle down over time, approximately 75 remained throughout the 2000s, rusting and leaching toxic heavy metals into the bay as the Bush administration did little to address the crumbling ships.
Many ships in the fleet served in World War II, including the historic USS Iowa, the last remaining U.S. lead battleship. Retired war ships like the Iowa were laid up in Suisun Bay for decades awaiting their next battle, but the call never came. Instead, they have sat unused and largely forgotten. But the Iowa will likely see a different fate than its sister ships who await their ultimate demise at a shipbreaker. Vallejo is currently in a heated battle with the port of Los Angeles (San Pedro) to secure rights to the battleship and turn it into a museum.
Guns on the deck of the USS Iowa.
Ticking Environmental Time Bombs
The ships have shed more than 20 tons of toxic paint debris that have settled into bay sediments, where they will cause problems long after the ships are gone. Even though Congress and the State of California ordered MARAD to address the situation, nothing was done for most of the past decade. Lawsuits filed by environmental groups were also unsuccessful in forcing MARAD to remove the ships. However, after Barack Obama took the Oval Office in 2008, the tide shifted and MARAD began working diligently to clean up and remove the ships.
As news began to mount that the ships would finally be towed out for scrapping, we knew we had to act fast if we wanted to explore and document them. We had fantasized for years about getting aboard, but it always seemed too difficult and other sites presented fewer challenges. In addition, the potential repercussions of trespassing are likely more severe than other locations we explore. One intimidating factor was our inability to find out what the penalties might entail if we did get caught, making it difficult to weigh the risks.
The President, which was towed to Mare Island in March 2011 to be scrapped. In May, it was towed out again, this time to Texas, in a swap for its sister ship, the President Lincoln, which was deemed too un-seaworthy to make the voyage to Texas.
But we knew that many inherent risks could be mitigated with enough planning and preparation. Before making our first trip on the water, Stephen scoped out the environs to assess how close we could get to the water on foot, which along with satellite imagery, helped us determine our route. Later, we made a second visit just to observe the 24-hour security patrols from the safety of the shoreline. We also purchased a scanner to eavesdrop on nearby radio communications and studied tidal patterns, planning our trips accordingly.
Sea Shadow inside the Hughes Mining Barge.
We had to overcome numerous obstacles just to get to the ships without even addressing the issues involved in getting on them. To get across the channel, we acquired a small, inflatable raft that was just big enough for the three of us and our gear, along with a small motor powered by a car battery. A raft seemed ideal several reasons: 1. it was not possible to drive up to the drop-in point, so we needed something lightweight to carry across the marsh, along with our camera gear, food, water, 2. we needed a boat that we could maneuver through extremely shallow tidal
3. The raft’s low profile and nearly silent motor would help us ev 4. a raft would be the easiest type of vessel to pull aboard the ships once we found a way on, and we could then deflate it and stash it away from prying eyes.
An inflatable raft does have its disadvantages. For one thing, it’s only possible to mount a tiny, low power motor on an inflatable raft. But the primary drawback is that holes are nearly inevitable. On our second trip, we discovered several holes as we readied the boat along the roadside. Luckily, we found a patch kit at a nearby gas station, and we were back in business. Another time, we discovered leaks on our return trip as we were leaving the ships. In this case, we continuously pumped up the boat while still on the water.
Scouting Mission
For our first trip, we decided to play it safe and treat it purely as a scouting mission. We did not bring our cameras or overnight gear, and we approached the ships cautiously. Warning signs posted on the hulls instruct you to stay at least 500 feet away. When we agreed it was safe, we breached the 500 foot barrier, and found a place with good cover where we could scope out potential ways aboard. To our surprise and delight, it was easier to climb aboard than we had imagined. It was a huge rush to climb aboard for the first time, but we did not stay long in case we set off alarm sensors. We turned back and called it a weekend, but now we knew it was possible.
Aboard the Ships
On subsequent trips, we spent the entire weekend aboard the ships, each time on a different row. Because they are tethered closely together in rows, we had many ships to explore—enough to keep us occupied for a week or more if the excursions were not so draining and we did not have jobs pulling us back. But the main reason we stayed all weekend is simply because it was such a challenge to get out there. Getting aboard was both physically and emotionally draining and was the riskiest part of the endeavor.
USS Sperry from the crow’s nest of the USCGC Glacier.
Once aboard, everything seemed to slow down. The adrenaline rush and anxiety I felt as we approached the ships instantly faded once we climbed aboard safely. I found it easy to relax and enjoy the quiet and stillness of the evening, miles from the hustle and bustle of modern civilization. We heard nearby trains rumbling as they passed, even inside the ships, but that’s it. Otherwise, it was just us and a few birds of prey that call the ships home.
Getting inside the ships was usually not straightforward, and sometimes
impossible. MARAD locks them down tight, but there are so many possible entrances that persistence often paid off. One of the first orders of business each trip was finding a place to sleep. The ships are often stinky from mold, mildew, PCBs, and decay, so a room with windows that opened was preferable. We typically slept in the captain’s room where we found comfy couches, convertible beds, lots of space, and plenty of light during the daytime.
We slept during the day after shooting and exploring all night. Around noon, we would wake up and eat and explore the bowels of the ships. We had to be careful moving around on the decks during the day, but because the ships are so tall, it was still fairly low-key—at least during our initial trips. On later trips, we ran into crews working on the ships, even on weekends, due to increased cleanup efforts. Luckily we always saw or heard them before they saw us!
Final Trip
On our final trip, we visited the “J Row,” the closest row to security headquarters where 24-hour crews keep a watchful eye on the ships. It would prove to be our most harrowing trip yet, because we had to pass within a couple hundred feet of the converted boathouse where the guards reside.
As we boarded the ships, a patrol boat zoomed up on us and started shining spotlights. Luckily, we had already climbed to safety, but it seemed odd that they accosted us like that. Fearing that we might have tripped alarm sensors, I had an uneasy feeling all weekend as we explored the ships. Despite ramped up patrols and uncharacteristic spotlighting all night long, we spent the weekend exploring the ships unscathed.
However, as we prepared to leave, we got buzzed by security again while inflating our raft on a barge near water level. With nowhere to hide, we literally hit the deck and prayed that they would not see us. In the scramble, Stephen dropped both paddles through a thin slot on the barge. Not only were we now lacking an essential piece of equipment that we needed to get back to shore, but worse, the paddles might float out in view of the security boat. All three of us began to panic, but there was little we could do. After a couple false starts when it initially appeared security had moved on, we frantically dropped our boat in the water, followed by our gear and ourselves, trying to be careful not to dunk our expensive cameras in the frenzy.
Remarkably, we found one of the oars floating out from under the barge right where we dropped the raft in the water. The other was about 50 feet away in a relatively calm patch of water next to the President, the last ship in the row. We decided to detour to retrieve the paddle, which would burn a couple minutes and leave us vulnerable if the security boat returned. Fortunately it did not, and we got away from the ships quickly, thanks to gallant rowing efforts by Jon and me as Stephen motored ahead.
But before we could get outside the invisible 500 foot barrier, we found ourselves right in the beam of the security boat’s search light. We were had! We stopped paddling, and desperately tried to come up with a good cover story. Practically admitting defeat, we decided that there was not much we could say, and we feared our gear would give us away. Then, astonishingly, after being in direct view of the boat’s spotlight for at least 10 seconds, the light moved off us and nothing happened. We kept rowing. The light came back a second time, further escalating our sense of despair. But then, the light went off of us again! We could not believe it—the boat turned and went the other way, but we still were not certain we were off the hook.
We frantically rowed until we reached the shore, fearing at any moment they would come for us. It was not until we reached the safety of the small marshy channel that we breathed a huge sigh of relief. The sun was about to rise and the morning chorus of chirping birds began. We were exhausted and vowed that this trip, our fifth, would be our last visit. Sadly, it was.
On May 7, 2011, we gave a slideshow presentation
at Workspace Limited in San Francisco.
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/Blogs/The-Final-Word-with-Joseph-Keefe/November-2010/Marad—Mare-Island–Miracle-or-Mirage-.aspx
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Slideshow with audio and narration delving into the attraction of Urban Exploration. This piece accompanied a San Francisco Chronicle article on the subject.
To commemorate the centennial of the 1906 San Francisco earthquake, I re-shot George Lawrence&s landmark photograph, &San Francisco in Ruins.&
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